Iran

Six Months Under Mojtaba Khamenei: Who Actually Rules Iran?

Six months after Ali Khamenei was killed, Mojtaba formally rules Iran. The evidence shows a harder security state — but not who holds the final word.

Middle East Escalation: Who Lit the Fuse — and Who Walks Away?

The sequence is documentable; responsibility, intent and durable settlement remain contested across interested parties and dated reports.

What Closing Hormuz Really Means

Hormuz can become commercially unusable without a formal legal closure. Recovery depends on traffic, insurance, crews and security—not one headline.

The Saudi–Houthi Escalation: What Is Confirmed Around the Red Sea?

Saudi–Houthi attacks, the Riyadh fire and Red Sea shipping: what is verified, what each side claims, and what remains unknown about damage and disruption.

Tankers, Insurance, And Shockwaves

Shipping can slow before a route is legally closed because crews, owners and insurers reprice risk. Those commercial effects are measurable and reversible.

Iran and Maritime Coercion

Maritime coercion is documented through seizures, route demands, attacks and military responses. Each event remains source- and date-specific.

The Hormuz Strait and the Squeeze (Retired — merged into Iran: Live Dossier)

Hormuz is a genuine energy chokepoint. Dated unsafe-passage and evacuation records establish disruption, not permanent legal closure or a settled end state.

Deterrence Credibility

Doctrine and capability programmes are documented. Whether deterrence succeeds in a future crisis cannot be guaranteed by policy text.

Alliance Strain

NATO records show binding political commitments and uneven implementation pressures. Strain is real; collapse is not established.

Strait Of Hormuz Brief (Retired — merged into Iran: Live Dossier)

Traffic and supply can adjust while maritime risk remains material. Partial recovery is not proof of normal conditions or durable political settlement.

Regional Spillover: Lebanon’s fragile framework deal, Gulf alarm, Iraq corridor pressure, and the systems war around Iran

Spillover is visible in health, maritime and corridor records. Connection does not establish central direction, settled causation or a closed end state.

Iran Nuclear Brief (Retired — merged into Iran: Live Dossier)

Public reporting and institutional records leave material uncertainty about stocks, access, negotiations and political intent.